Some of your colleagues are excited to bring AI into their classrooms. Others have real concerns about its energy and water use. This briefing tries to separate four questions that usually get collapsed into one: how much energy a single task uses, how large AI's aggregate footprint is, what burden falls on the specific communities hosting that infrastructure, and whether a given classroom use is worth its cost. The numbers below are best current estimates, not settled facts — and several of them are corrections to an earlier draft of this same page.
Last reviewed October 1, 2026 — first against an independent accuracy review that corrected a number of overstated or mislabeled figures in the first draft, then again against a U.S. GAO technology assessment that added the hardware-manufacturing and national-scale figures in "What's actually worth watching." See Sources for specifics.
01
Where the recent estimates land
A handful of separately run 2025 estimates for a short, ordinary chatbot text response — a quick question, not a long document or a multi-step agent task — land in a similar order of magnitude. That's useful context. It is not a verified industry consensus: each number describes a different model, on a different date, measured a different way, and none of it covers heavier workloads like reasoning or agentic tasks (more on that below).
0.03–0.4 Whseveral separate 2025 estimates for a short text response
Google's disclosed figure — 0.24 Wh for the median Gemini Apps text prompt in May 2025 — is the only one of these based on the company's own internal measurement rather than outside modeling. Google's own write-up is explicit that the data hasn't been independently verified and doesn't describe every prompt or future performance. Epoch AI's roughly 0.3 Wh is a modeled estimate for GPT-4o under stated assumptions, not a direct measurement. The UN University's 2026 report uses 0.42 Wh as a representative planning figure for its own calculations. Treat these as three separate estimates with a name, a date, and a method attached — not one settled number.
~0.3 Wh (2009)
Google's original per-search energy estimate — still the most commonly cited search baseline, and never publicly updated since
~2.9 Wh
Average AI-generated image across a set of tested open models (Luccioni et al.) — individual models vary considerably
0.14–400+ Wh
Full reported cross-model range for a short AI-generated video clip (UN University report) — not a single typical value
50–70 GWh
Estimated electricity to train one frontier model like GPT-4, once, over ~100 days — an estimate, since OpenAI hasn't disclosed the real figure
That first row is worth sitting with. The familiar claim that an AI query burns 10× the energy of a web search traces to an identifiable 2023 estimate (about 2.9 Wh, modeled from a SemiAnalysis assumption about ChatGPT's early infrastructure) compared against Google's 0.3 Wh search figure — which dates to 2009. Comparing a 2023 estimate for one system against a 16-year-old figure for a completely different, long-since-rebuilt one doesn't reliably establish a multiplier in either direction. Nobody has published a rigorous, current, apples-to-apples comparison of a search and an AI query. That's worth noticing the next time someone states one with confidence — including an earlier draft of this page, which claimed the opposite overstatement.
02
Myth vs. reality, from both directions
Pick the perspective closer to your own. These aren't two settled positions where one side has already won — they're claims worth checking against what the underlying research actually supports.
Claim
"A single AI prompt is basically free — it's not worth worrying about."
Reality Roughly true for an ordinary text prompt in isolation: at around 0.3 Wh, that's about 0.0005% of an average American's daily emissions, per climate writer Andy Masley's math. But that describes one prompt, not what happens when a school of 500 students each sends dozens of prompts a day, every school day, all year — and it doesn't describe a longer, reasoning-heavy, or agentic request, which can use far more. Small numbers still accumulate, and not every AI task is small.
Claim
"AI will make the grid greener on net — it's a climate solution, not a climate problem."
Reality The International Energy Agency does project that AI-enabled efficiency elsewhere in the economy could exceed the emissions from data centers' own electricity use, by 2035. That's a real, cited projection — and also a projection, resting on assumptions about how AI actually gets deployed and adopted. It doesn't cancel out the data centers being built and powered by gas and coal right now, and IEA's own 2026 update is explicit that this is a possibility, not a guarantee.
Claim
"Efficiency is improving so fast the footprint is basically shrinking."
Reality Per-query efficiency really is improving fast — Google reported its median Gemini prompt used 33× less energy in May 2025 than a year earlier. But total AI electricity demand is still projected to climb, because falling costs tend to invite more use, a dynamic economists call the rebound effect. That's a documented tendency, not an iron law — but it does mean a given efficiency gain is not, by itself, a reliable reason to expect AI's total footprint to shrink.
Claim
"Every ChatGPT query is a small climate disaster."
Reality An ordinary short text prompt costs roughly what a microwave uses in a second or two. You'd need something like 2,000 such prompts in a day to raise your personal emissions by 1%, by Andy Masley's math. The individual-prompt framing that circulates online overstates the case for an ordinary text query by a wide margin — though it understates the case for image or video generation, and for reasoning or agentic tasks, which can use one to three orders of magnitude more (see the chart below).
Claim
"Training one model creates hundreds of thousands of kilograms of CO₂."
Reality The widely repeated 2019 Strubell et al. figure this traces to actually described a neural-architecture-search process across many models, not one training run — so the citation is commonly misapplied. But don't read that as reassurance: the UN University's 2026 report estimates GPT-4-scale training at roughly 25,000 tonnes CO₂e (25 million kilograms), and a GPT-5-scale model at roughly 42,000 tonnes — both far larger than the misattributed figure, not smaller. That GPT-5 number is explicitly a scaling projection, since no real GPT-5 training-energy data has been published. The correction here isn't "it's not that bad." It's "the commonly cited source was wrong, and the real number for a frontier model is worse."
Claim
"AI data centers are draining water supplies and burning coal, full stop."
Reality True in specific, documented places — not everywhere uniformly, and not always for the reason assumed. Microsoft's Netherlands data center used 84 million liters of water in 2021, a drought year, far above its own earlier estimate; contemporaneous reporting notes that construction activity, not just operations, contributed to that total. In Ireland, data centers of all kinds accounted for about 23% of the country's metered electricity in 2025, versus about 18% for all urban households combined, per Ireland's Central Statistics Office — a real and striking comparison, though it covers all data centers, not AI-specific ones. Ireland's grid regulator adopted a stricter new connection policy for data centers in December 2025, rather than a blanket construction ban. The impact is real but concentrated and site-specific, which is exactly why where infrastructure gets built matters as much as how big it is.
03
How does a chatbot stack up against everything else?
Everything below is converted to grams of CO₂e so the order of magnitude is comparable at a glance. Bars are positioned on a real logarithmic scale, calculated directly from each value (the axis below the chart shows the scale). That comparability has limits — the table underneath explains what each figure actually measures, since they don't all draw the same boundary around "impact." Two entries are shown as ranges rather than single bars, because the underlying research reports a range, not one typical number.
AI-relatedEverything elseReported range, not a single value
0.1 g1 g10 g100 g1,000 g10,000 g
1 plain web searchGoogle's 2009 estimate
0.14 g
1 AI chatbot text promptordinary short response, 2025 estimates
0.03–0.2 g
1 AI-generated imageaverage across tested models
~1.3 g
1 hour streaming NetflixIEA's 2019 estimate
36 g
1 short AI-generated video clipfull reported cross-model range
0.06–180 g
Driving 1 mileaverage car, EPA tailpipe estimate
400 g
Flying 1 miledomestic flight, economy
396 g
1 beef patty113 g, dedicated beef herd
~11,300 g
Entry
What it actually measures
AI text / image
Electricity used, multiplied by an assumed grid carbon intensity — no allocated training, device, or hardware-manufacturing footprint
AI video
Same method as above; the huge range reflects real differences across models and settings, not just uncertainty
Netflix
A 2019 estimate that does include devices, home networks, and data centers together
Driving
EPA's tailpipe CO₂ only — no manufacturing or fuel-extraction footprint
Flying
Includes an added multiplier for aviation's extra warming effect at altitude, which the driving and AI figures don't have an equivalent for
Beef
Full agricultural supply-chain footprint (feed, land use, methane) — a genuinely different kind of accounting than "electricity × grid factor"
None of the AI rows above include the emissions from manufacturing the hardware they ran on. That's not a rounding error — see "What's actually worth watching" below for how large the gap might be.
Streaming video had this exact argument a few years ago. A viral 2019 claim that thirty minutes of Netflix emits as much as driving four miles turned out, once the IEA checked the underlying assumptions, to be overstated by roughly 90×. The corrected number, 36 g CO₂e per hour, is what's plotted above. The same skepticism is worth aiming at every figure on this page, including the ones that favor a reassuring conclusion.
The pattern that survives the caveats: an ordinary search, chatbot reply, or AI image sits down near hundredths to a few grams of CO₂e; even a full hour of streaming or a heavier AI video sits in the tens of grams. Driving, flying, and eating meat start roughly where that cluster ends and run one to two orders of magnitude higher. None of these are measured on quite the same terms — see the table above — but the gap between "ordinary digital task" and "physical, biological thing" is wide enough to survive that imprecision.
Be careful what that gap does and doesn't settle. It's a statement about per-task magnitude, nothing more. It says nothing about whether a specific data center is straining a specific community's water supply, whether a specific grid can absorb the new demand without building more fossil generation, or whether a specific classroom's use of the tool was worth it — the local-burden and educational-value questions from the top of this page. Scale doesn't answer those, and a chart that makes AI look small can be used to wave them away. It also doesn't run in reverse: a real, large footprint across a company's entire operation doesn't mean any single ordinary text prompt was wasteful. Both can be true at once, which is exactly why this page keeps the four questions separate instead of averaging them into one verdict.
04
What your own habit adds up to
Now put a number on your own use, and set it against two things people already have an intuitive feel for. This models ordinary short text prompts only — a long document, a reasoning-heavy request, or an AI agent taking several actions on your behalf can use well more than the figure below per query.
Your text prompts per day15
Days you're totaling this over180
—
Miles driven in an average car
—
Miles flown, domestic economy
—
113 g beef patties
Underlying totals: — of electricity, about — of CO₂e, using an illustrative 0.35 Wh per prompt (this page's working assumption for an ordinary short response, not a validated average) and a global-average grid intensity of about 450 g CO₂e/kWh. Car and flight figures use 400 g CO₂e/mile (EPA tailpipe estimate) and 396 g CO₂e/mile (a domestic economy flight specifically, UK DESNZ conversion factors via Our World in Data, which include an added multiplier for aviation's extra warming effect at altitude) — for a domestic flight, that lands close to driving alone, though a longer international flight has a meaningfully lower per-mile footprint by the same source. The patty figure applies the global-average footprint of beef from a dedicated beef herd, about 100 kg CO₂e per kilogram including its full supply chain (Poore & Nemecek, 2018, Science, via Our World in Data), to a 113 g raw patty — dairy-herd beef, the bun, and cooking aren't included.
Notice how many prompts it takes to equal even one beef patty. That's useful for the task-energy question — and only that question. It says nothing about heavier AI tasks, the aggregate picture below, where the infrastructure behind it sits, or whether any of it was worth doing. Treat it as scale, not as a verdict.
05
Run the numbers on your own use case
Zoom out from your own habit to the aggregate, schoolwide picture. This is a single illustrative scenario built from fixed per-task assumptions, not a validated model of any real school's mixed use — a building that leans toward reasoning-heavy or agentic tools would use meaningfully more than this suggests, task for task.
Students using AI tools25
School days over the period20
Text prompts per student, per day3
AI images generated per student, per day0.5
AI video clips per student, per day0
—
Estimated electricity used
—
Estimated CO₂e, at global-average grid intensity
—
Roughly equal to driving a car this far
This calculator uses 0.35 Wh per text prompt (an illustrative figure, not a validated schoolwide average), 2.9 Wh per image (an average across tested open models, which vary considerably), and 250 Wh per video clip — a single scenario point inside the UN University report's actual cross-model range of roughly 0.14 to 400+ Wh, not a typical clip. A real school's mix of models and task types would shift every one of these, sometimes by an order of magnitude.
Carbon uses a global-average grid intensity of about 450 g CO₂e/kWh and 400 g CO₂e/mile driven (EPA tailpipe estimate, matching the personal calculator above). Video generation dominates the total the moment it's used at all — try raising it from 0 to see how fast that changes.
06
Cutting the footprint down
None of this argues for using AI tools less thoughtfully — it argues for using them more deliberately. Roughly in order of how much difference each one makes:
1
Ask whether you need AI for this task at all
The biggest lever isn't a setting, it's the decision before you open the tool. A quick fact lookup, a calculation, or a question you could answer from a textbook doesn't need a language model — and skipping it removes that task's AI energy use entirely, not just reduces it.
2
Default to text, and treat image and video generation as a deliberate choice
This is the highest-leverage setting, because the gap between task types spans one to three orders of magnitude, not a few percent. Save image generation for when a real image is the point of the assignment, and treat video generation — which can cost as much as an hour of streaming per clip, sometimes far more — as an occasional tool rather than a default output format.
3
Use the lightest model that actually does the job
Most chatbot platforms offer a lighter or faster option (sometimes labeled "mini," "flash," "instant," or similar) alongside their flagship model. These generally use less energy per query, and for routine tasks — drafting an email, summarizing a short passage — they're often good enough. No independent, cross-provider ranking of exactly how much lighter models save currently exists, so treat "generally less" as the honest claim rather than a specific multiplier.
4
Think before you iterate
Every follow-up message is a separate query, and long conversations mean some of the earlier exchange gets reprocessed each time too, though exactly how much depends on the platform's caching, which isn't public information. A little upfront thought about what you actually want usually beats sending five rough attempts — though not by a fixed or guaranteed amount.
5
Turn off the AI features you can actually turn off
Auto-summarize and always-on writing suggestions can usually be disabled in settings, which does stop that specific computation. Search AI overviews are a partial exception: Google's own help documentation says AI Overviews can't be fully disabled as a core Search feature, and its "Web" filter changes what's displayed without necessarily stopping the underlying computation. Check the specific product's documentation rather than assuming a toggle exists.
None of these require becoming an expert, and none require giving up AI tools. They're the same category of habit as turning off lights in an empty room — not because any one instance matters much, but because the habit is what scales.
07
What's actually worth watching
Roughly ordered from the smallest lever to the biggest one. If you only have energy to think about one or two, start from the bottom.
1
Which task, not just how many prompts
The gap between a short text answer and a generated video isn't 2× or 5× — using this page's own figures, it runs from roughly 200× to well over a thousand times. A classroom norm of "text first, image or video only when it adds real value" does more than any amount of prompt-counting.
2
The rebound effect
Efficiency gains lower the cost of each query, which tends to encourage more use — that's the logic behind the rebound effect, or Jevons Paradox. It doesn't automatically follow that any specific improvement will increase total use, but it does mean "the new model is more efficient" is not, on its own, a reliable reason to expect AI's total footprint to shrink.
3
Where the data center sits
The same electricity has different water and land costs depending on the grid it comes from. A data center on a hydro-heavy grid can pair a tiny carbon footprint with a large water footprint; a coal-heavy grid often raises the carbon side without necessarily lowering the water side, since thermal power plants use substantial cooling water too. There's no location that's simply "clean" on every dimension at once.
4
Disclosure is incomplete, not absent
OpenAI and Anthropic have never published a per-query energy or carbon figure. Google and Mistral both have, for specific workloads — Google for a median Gemini text prompt, Mistral for one 400-token response. That's real progress, but the two use different accounting methods, cover different tasks, and can't yet be meaningfully compared to each other. Incomplete and inconsistent disclosure, not total silence, is the more accurate complaint — and it's still enough to make independent verification hard.
5
Who gets the infrastructure and who doesn't
As of the UN University's 2025 data, only 32 countries host AI-specialized data centers at all, and about 90% of that capacity sits in the US and China. The environmental cost and the economic benefit of AI infrastructure don't land on the same communities. For a global classroom conversation, this is often the more consequential inequity than the energy math itself.
6
The real scale: how big is this, nationally?
Everything above is about a single task. Zoomed out: U.S. data centers were about 4% of U.S. electricity demand in 2022, and the International Energy Agency projected 6% by 2026. The U.S. Government Accountability Office's 2025 technology assessment cites separate estimates putting data centers at 6.7–12% of U.S. electricity by 2028, with AI applications specifically responsible for something like 10–20% of data center electricity today — a share one financial-industry estimate expects to reach 20% by 2030. GAO is also explicit that "it is unclear what portion of data center electricity consumption is related to generative AI" specifically, as opposed to other computing — the same measurement gap this page keeps running into, confirmed by a government audit. These are national, aggregate numbers: a single classroom's use is a vanishingly small fraction of them, and the aggregate number answers a policy question, not whether any one prompt was worth sending.
7
Manufacturing the hardware may outweigh running it
Nearly every figure on this page, including its own comparison chart, counts only the electricity used to train or run a model. GAO's 2025 report cites an analysis finding that embodied carbon from manufacturing the computing hardware — mining raw materials, fabricating chips, building and shipping servers — adds roughly 50% on top of the emissions from training and using AI. Hardware also has a finite life: GPUs are generally considered obsolete after about 4 years, and what happens to them afterward is a lifecycle stage with almost no public data behind it. If that 50% figure is in the right range, every operational number on this page is undercounting the true footprint by closer to half again as much.
08
Questions for a staff meeting
Four different questions tend to get flattened into one debate: how much energy a specific task uses, how large a provider's aggregate footprint is, what burden lands on host communities, and whether a given use is worth it educationally. These questions try to keep them separate.
01A single prompt's footprint is small, but a school's aggregate use adds up to something measurable. Where should a policy actually target — the individual prompt, the tool defaults the school chooses, or something else entirely?
02Image and video generation cost far more energy per use than text. Does that change which tools you'd pick for which assignments, or is educational value the deciding factor either way?
03This page corrected several of its own claims after outside review. What would it take for a number already circulating in your building to get the same scrutiny before it's repeated to students?
04Set the energy question aside for a moment: does a specific classroom use of AI deliver enough educational value to justify whatever its footprint turns out to be, compared to the alternative you'd otherwise use?
09
Sources
Tags describe the type of evidence behind each source — a company's own measurement, an independent benchmark, a modeled estimate, or commentary — not a verdict on whether it's right. Read each note for the specific limitation to watch for; institutional affiliation, a DOI, or agreement with this page's conclusions don't by themselves establish that a number is correct.
The source of the 0.24 Wh Gemini figure, with a published technical methodology. Google's own text says the data isn't independently verified and doesn't describe every prompt. It's also the company measuring its own homework.
A modeled estimate for GPT-4o under stated assumptions, not a direct measurement. Also discusses long-input costs and caching, and critiques the provenance of the "10× a search" comparison.
Alex de Vries, "The growing energy footprint of artificial intelligence," Joule (2023) — accessible copymodeled estimate
The actual, traceable source of the "10× a search" figure: about 2.9 Wh/request, from 564 MWh/day ÷ 195 million requests/day (a SemiAnalysis-derived assumption), compared against a 0.3 Wh search baseline. An earlier draft of this page wrongly called this estimate untraceable.
The original source of the ~0.3 Wh/search figure still cited in 2025–2026 reports. It describes Google's infrastructure as it existed in 2009, not today.
A congressionally requested technology assessment, reviewed by outside experts before publication. Source of this page's embodied-hardware-carbon finding (~50% on top of training and use), its lifecycle framing (infrastructure build, training, use, end-of-life), and its national grid-share figures. It is itself explicit that company non-disclosure makes its own estimates uncertain.
Explicitly distinguishes simple text generation from reasoning, video, and agentic tasks, which it says can use hundreds to thousands of times more energy per query — the basis for this page's repeated caveat that its calculators only model ordinary short tasks.
An intergovernmental agency's modeling of data-center demand through 2035, including the finding that AI's own emissions and AI-enabled efficiency gains elsewhere are both plausible, and neither is guaranteed to cancel the other out.
Source of the streaming-video figure in the comparison chart, and the direct precedent for a viral overstated claim being corrected by roughly 90×. The 36 g/hour figure describes 2019 conditions specifically.
An open, continuously updated set of direct hardware measurements across dozens of AI models and settings — the same academic group MIT Technology Review worked with. Its own video-generation numbers vary by hardware configuration, another reason this page treats video figures as a range.
Source of the ~2.9 Wh/image figure — an average across a specific set of tested open models, not a universal figure for current image-generation products, which vary considerably around it.
Our World in Data, "Which form of transport has the smallest carbon footprint?" (Ritchie, 2023) and "The carbon footprint of foods" (Ritchie, 2020, based on Poore & Nemecek, Science, 2018)independent benchmark
Basis for the car, flight, and beef comparisons. The flight figure used here is specifically OWID's domestic-flight factor; the same article gives a different, lower figure for short-haul international flights, and this page previously blurred that distinction.
Source of the 400 g/mile driving figure used consistently across both calculators and the chart. It's a tailpipe estimate, not a full vehicle lifecycle footprint.
Named authors at a UN research institute, full methodology and citations. Its GPT-5 training figures are explicitly a scaling projection, not measured data, and its 0.42 Wh text figure is a representative planning assumption, not (as an earlier draft of this page incorrectly claimed) an average weighted toward longer prompts.
Reports about 1.14 g CO₂e for a specific response — useful mainly as evidence that per-query disclosures now exist beyond Google's, and that different accounting methods make cross-provider comparison hard rather than easy.
The original paper behind the widely misquoted "hundreds of thousands of kg CO₂" figure, which described a neural-architecture-search process across many models, not one training run.
Transparent, well-sourced math from an outspoken advocate for the position that ordinary AI use isn't an environmental problem. Useful for the arithmetic; read with that stance in mind.
Peer-reviewed, but a short piece by a team without energy-research backgrounds, mixing well-known statistics with at least one likely misattribution. Included for completeness, not as a source of specific numbers.
P.S.
What did making this page cost?
You asked, so here's an attempt — and it runs straight into the same wall the rest of this page describes. There is no way to actually measure this.
Unknownthis page's own energy cost, honestly
Anthropic hasn't published a per-query energy figure for Claude, so any number here is Claude estimating its own footprint using other companies' disclosed figures for different models — precisely the kind of comparison this page has spent nine sections asking you to be skeptical of. For what it's worth: by the time of this revision, the conversation behind this page had run to roughly 80 separate exchanges with the model, counting tool calls, web fetches, document reads, and file edits across several rounds of revision. That's not a count of model inferences — a single exchange can involve more than one internally, and whether long-context turns are cheaper than a fresh query depends on caching behavior that also isn't public. Multiplying that rough count by Google's disclosed 0.24 Wh gives about 19 Wh; multiplying it by the UN University's own upper reference point for long, complex queries (10+ Wh) gives roughly 800 Wh.
~80
Rough exchange count as of this revision, up from ~55 at first publication — it grows every time the page is revised, which is itself the point below
0.24–10+ Wh
Range borrowed from other companies' disclosed or modeled figures, applied to a model that discloses none of its own
19–800 Wh
The resulting arithmetic span — a 40-fold spread, which is the actual finding here
Unknown
The honest label. An earlier draft of this section claimed the true number was "almost certainly" near the high end; that claim wasn't supportable and has been removed
A 40-fold range doesn't pin much down, and that's the actual point: this page is not exempt from the transparency problem it spends its other nine sections describing. Treat this section as illustrative arithmetic, not an estimate.